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王家厂水库洪水实时预报方法及应用研究
引用本文:王贝,宋星原,戴自逑,杜勇.王家厂水库洪水实时预报方法及应用研究[J].中国农村水利水电,2003(1):79-81.
作者姓名:王贝  宋星原  戴自逑  杜勇
作者单位:武汉大学水利水电学院,430072
基金项目:国家自然科学基金重大项目50099620)
摘    要:考虑到流域降雨时空变化和流域地形、河道特征对流域产汇流的影响,应用新安江三水源产流模型、流域分散入流非线性汇流模型以及流域洪水实时预报校正模型,对王家厂流域洪水进行模拟,取得了较为满意的计算结果。

关 键 词:王家厂水库  洪水  实时预报  蓄满产流模型  可变遗忘因子  最小二乘法
修稿时间:2002年5月10日

Research on the Method and Application of Real-Time Flood Forecast in Wangjiachang Reservoir
Wang Bei Song Xingyuan Dai Ziqiu Du Yong.Research on the Method and Application of Real-Time Flood Forecast in Wangjiachang Reservoir[J].China Rural Water and Hydropower,2003(1):79-81.
Authors:Wang Bei Song Xingyuan Dai Ziqiu Du Yong
Abstract:The effects of the rainfall space-time variation, the topography as well as the river channel characters on the runoff yield and concentration in a valley are considered. This paper adopts the three-water-source runoff yield model of Xin'an River, the nonlinear concentration model for dispersion inflow and the model of real-time flood forcast emendation to simulate the flood of Wangjiachang Valley. It is shown that the models are effective in practical use and the results are reasonable.
Keywords:saturation-runoff yield model variable oblivion factor least-square method  
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