| 潮河流域气候变化对径流量的影响分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 武夏宁,江燕.潮河流域气候变化对径流量的影响分析[J].中国农村水利水电,2010,0(2):5-7. |
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| 作者姓名： | 武夏宁 江燕 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中国水电建设集团国际工程有限公司,北京,100044
2. 北京师范大学水科学研究院,北京,100875 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目(50809004) |
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| 摘 要： | 根据潮河流域戴营水文站1956-2000年历年逐月气温、降水和径流量资料,统计分析了近45年流域气候变化的基本特点,并以径流量作为自回归因子,降水和气温作为多元回归因子,建立了径流量预测的混合回归模型,分析了径流量对气候变化响应的敏感性。
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| 关 键 词： | 潮河流域 径流量 气候变化 混合回归模型 |
The Impact of Climatic Change on Runoff in Chaohe River Basin |
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| WU Xia-ning
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JIANG Yan.The Impact of Climatic Change on Runoff in Chaohe River Basin[J].China Rural Water and Hydropower,2010,0(2):5-7. |
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| Authors: | WU Xia-ning JIANG Yan |
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| Institution: | WU Xia-ning1,JIANG Yan2(1.Sinohydro Corporation Limited,Beijing 100044,China,2.College of Water Sciences,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on monthly temperature and precipitation data from 1956 to 2000 of the Daiying Hydrological Station in Chaohe River Basin,the characteristics of climatic change in the past 45 years are analyzed.And then mix regression model is established for annual runoff forecasting,in which year flow is auto-regression factor,precipitation and air temperature is regression factor.The impact of temperature and precipitation changes on annual runoff process is analyzed. |
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| Keywords: | Chaohe River Basin flow climatic change mix regression model |
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