宁夏水资源脆弱性与社会适应能力耦合关系研究

基于宁夏水资源系统与社会适应能力系统分析,筛选评价指标,构建耦合协调度模型,对2010年-2017年宁夏水资源脆弱性和社会适应能力耦合关系进行分析。得到以下几个结论:(1)2010-2017年宁夏水资源脆弱性有降低的趋势;2017年社会适应能力综合评价值最大,2012年最小;(2)2010-2017年宁夏水资源脆弱性与社会适应能力协调度基本上处于优质耦合、良好耦合、中级耦合、初级耦合4个状态;(3)2010-2017年宁夏水资源脆弱性与社会适应能力耦合协调度处于优质耦合协调发展、良好耦合协调发展、中级耦合协调发展、初级耦合协调发展、勉强耦合协调发展、濒临失调衰退六种类型。

Research on the Coupling Rrelationship between Water Resources Vulnerability and Social Adaptation in Ningxia

Based on the evaluation index of Ningxia water resources system and social adaptive capacity system,a coupling coordination degree model is constructed,and the index weight is determined by using the improved entropy method.The relationship between water vulnerability and social adaptive capacity of Ningxia from 2010 to 2017 is analyzed.Specifically,the following conclusions are drawn:①From 2010 to 2017,water resource vulnerability in Ningxia showed a trend of reduction.In 2017,the comprehensive evaluation value of social adaptability was the highest,while in 2012,it was the lowest.②From 2010 to 2017,the coordination degree of water resource vulnerability and social adaptability in Ningxia is basically in four states:high-quality coupling,good coupling,intermediate coupling and primary coupling.③From 2010 to 2017,the degree of coupling coordination between water resource vulnerability and social adaptability in Ningxia is in six types:high-quality coupling coordinated development,good coupling coordinated development,intermediate coupling coordinated development,primary coupling coordinated development,reluctant coupling coordinated development,and near imbalance and decline.