| 广东省水稻生产机械装备水平灰色预测与分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 雷利平,邓继忠,张进疆,何琳.广东省水稻生产机械装备水平灰色预测与分析[J].农机化研究,2009,31(2). |
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| 作者姓名： | 雷利平 邓继忠 张进疆 何琳 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 华南农业大学,工程学院,广州510642
2. 广东省农业机械研究所,广州,510630 |
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| 基金项目： | 广东省农业机械装备技术公共实验室开放基金 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用广东省水稻生产主要环节机械装备保有量的历史数据,建立了灰色GM(1,1)预测模型,对2006-2020年广东省水稻生产机械装备水平进行了预测,并参考广东省水稻生产机械化作业水平值,对其预测结果进行了修正,以便能为政府主管部门制定提高水稻生产机械装备水平的政策措施提供参考依据.
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| 关 键 词： | 水稻生产机械化 装备水平 灰色预测 广东省 |
Grey Forecast and Analysis of Equipment Level of Paddy Rice Production Mechanization in Guangdong Province |
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| Lei Liping,Deng Jizhong,Zhang Jinjiang,He Lin.Grey Forecast and Analysis of Equipment Level of Paddy Rice Production Mechanization in Guangdong Province[J].Journal of Agricultural Mechanization Research,2009,31(2). |
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| Authors: | Lei Liping Deng Jizhong Zhang Jinjiang He Lin |
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| Institution: | 1.College of Engineering;South China Agricultural University;Guangzhou 510642;China;2.Guangdong Agri-machinery Research Institute;Guangzhou 510630;China |
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| Abstract: | Based on the history data of the main course machinery equipments of paddy rice in Guangdong province,the grey model GM(1,1) is constructed to forecast the equipment level of paddy rice production mechanization from 2006 to 2020. According to the mechanization level of paddy rice production in Guangdong province,the forecast values were modified and can provide the reference basis on the improvement of equipment level of paddy rice production mechanization for the government departments. |
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| Keywords: | paddy rice production mechanization equipment level grey forecast Guangdong Province |
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