| 基于PCCs-DEMATEL指标筛选的BP神经网络用水量预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 崔惠敏,薛惠锋,王磊,赵臣啸.基于PCCs-DEMATEL指标筛选的BP神经网络用水量预测[J].节水灌溉,2019(5):87-91,98. |
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| 作者姓名： | 崔惠敏 薛惠锋 王磊 赵臣啸 |
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| 作者单位： | 西安理工大学,西安,710000;中国航天系统科学与工程研究院,北京,100048 |
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| 摘 要： | 以面向决策支持的用水量趋势预测为研究目标,采用从定性到定量的综合集成方法,将各指标变化率作为处理单元,运用PCCs-DEMATEL(皮尔逊相关系数-决策试验评估)方法对统计指标筛选,以BP神经网络构建预测模型,与赋权指数平滑法预测模型进行比较分析。模型在广州市的运用实例表明,基于PCCs-DEMATEL指标筛选的BP神经网络用水量预测模型可以更好地预测以年为单位的地区用水量,为水资源决策分析提供可靠的数据支撑。
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| 关 键 词： | BP神经网络 DEMATEL方法 皮尔逊相关系数 指数平滑法 用水量预测 |
BP Neural Network Water Consumption Prediction Based on PCCs-DEMATEL Index Selection |
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| CUI Hui-min,XUE Hui-feng,WANG Lei,ZHAO Chen-xiao.BP Neural Network Water Consumption Prediction Based on PCCs-DEMATEL Index Selection[J].Water Saving Irrigation,2019(5):87-91,98. |
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| Authors: | CUI Hui-min XUE Hui-feng WANG Lei ZHAO Chen-xiao |
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| Institution: | (Institute of Economics and Management,Xi'an University of Technology,Xi'an 710048,China;China Academy of Aerospace System Science and Engineering,Beijing 100048,China) |
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| Abstract: | CUI Hui-min;XUE Hui-feng;WANG Lei;ZHAO Chen-xiao(Institute of Economics and Management,Xi'an University of Technology,Xi'an 710048,China;China Academy of Aerospace System Science and Engineering,Beijing 100048,China) |
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| Keywords: | BP neural network DEMATEL method Pearson correlation coefficient exponential smoothing method water consumption prediction |
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