A simulation model of a dairy forage system to evaluate feeding management strategies with spring rotational grazing

Abstract To counteract a decrease in the availability of grazing for feeding dairy cows in France, a simulation model is proposed in the paper, which combines decision and agronomic submodels to study forage system management strategies compatible with spring grazing use. Nine strategies were tested with the model using a sequence of 16 climatic years. Three of these strategies come from a survey in south‐west France and six others were designed with research scientists or farm advisors. The strategies differ in the duration of maize silage feeding, the area dedicated to maize silage and the area dedicated to grass silage. Results from simulation models show that the consequence of a large and constant maize silage area is a high maize silage overstock if there is an early turnout or a high grass silage overstock if turnout is late. The consequence of a low maize area is a high grazing duration combined in some years with feeding shortages. Strategies that have no feeding shortage and a low level of maize and grass silage overstock have a high grazing duration and have no constant maize or grass silage areas. The solution proposed to avoid climatic risk, and its consequences on feeding, is based on two procedures: use of reserve areas for production and allowing the production programme to be modified to take into account fresh information, especially weather records.