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北京市蔬菜价格变动的特征及影响因素
引用本文:潘凤杰,穆月英.北京市蔬菜价格变动的特征及影响因素[J].中国蔬菜,2011(Z1).
作者姓名:潘凤杰  穆月英
作者单位:中国农业大学经济管理学院;
基金项目:现代农业产业技术体系北京市果类蔬菜创新团队项目
摘    要:以北京市蔬菜价格的变动为研究对象,采用2007年6月~2011年1月北京市蔬菜总体或分品种的按月平均价格数据,分析了蔬菜价格变动的长期趋势、季节波动和超常波动等特征。在此基础上,运用多元回归模型对北京市蔬菜价格变动的影响因素进行了分析。结果表明,蔬菜上市量、农用生产资料价格、季节、自然灾害等因素均对北京市蔬菜价格有影响。

关 键 词:蔬菜  价格变动  逐步回归  影响因素  

Analysis of Vegetable Price Fluctuating Characteristics in Beijing and Influencing Factors
PAN Feng-jie,MU Yue-ying.Analysis of Vegetable Price Fluctuating Characteristics in Beijing and Influencing Factors[J].China Vegetables,2011(Z1).
Authors:PAN Feng-jie  MU Yue-ying
Institution:PAN Feng-jie,MU Yue-ying* (College of Economics and Management,China Agricultural University,Beijing 100083,China)
Abstract:Taking vegetable price fluctuation in Beijing as study object,this paper collects the overall vegetable price and prices of various varieties from June 2007 to January 2011,and analyzes the long-term trend,seasonal fluctuation and unusual fluctuation,etc.vegetable price fluctuating characteristics.On this basis,this paper also analyzes the influencing factors for vegetable price fluctuations in Beijing and carries out empirical studies.The validation results show that vegetable market amounts,price of agric...
Keywords:Vegetable  Price fluctuation  Regression analysis  Influencing factor  
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