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中国胶合板贸易波动实证分析
引用本文:张寒,聂影,王健,柳露.中国胶合板贸易波动实证分析[J].世界林业研究,2008,21(2):71-75.
作者姓名:张寒  聂影  王健  柳露
作者单位:1. 南京林业大学经济管理学院,南京,210037
2. 南京林业大学经济管理学院,南京,210037;国家林业局林产品经济贸易研究中心,南京,210037
摘    要:运用恒定市场份额模型,从市场规模、市场分布、竞争力3方面探讨了1992-2006年中国胶合板出口大幅增长的成因.实证研究发现:竞争力的提高是中国胶合板出口增长的决定性因素;市场规模效应对出口的促进作用不明显,但有一定增长;市场分布效应一直阻碍着出口的扩大,这种负向效应有减小的趋势.

关 键 词:胶合板  恒定市场份额模型  增长效应
收稿时间:2007/11/22 0:00:00

An Empirical Analysis on the Change of China's Plywood Trade
Zhang Han,Nie Ying,Wang Jian and Liu Lu.An Empirical Analysis on the Change of China''s Plywood Trade[J].World Forestry Research,2008,21(2):71-75.
Authors:Zhang Han  Nie Ying  Wang Jian and Liu Lu
Institution:College of Economics and Management, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, China;College of Economics and Management, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, China;SINO-RCETFOR, Nanjing 210037, China;College of Economics and Management, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, China;College of Economics and Management, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, China
Abstract:This paper uses the constant market share model to carry on the causation analysis on the continual growth of China's plywood export from market scale,market distribution and competitive strength during 1992-2006.The conclusions indicate that the increase of export competition's playing the most important role in the augment export of China's plywood;the positive effect of market scale has increased in a certain,but still not obvious;and the market distribution effect embarrasses the export,although its exportation hindrance function reduces gradually.
Keywords:plywood  constant market share model  growth effect
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