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我国原木进口量影响因素的实证分析
引用本文:姜馨.我国原木进口量影响因素的实证分析[J].中南林业调查规划,2010,29(3):69-72.
作者姓名:姜馨
作者单位:中国人民大学统计学院,北京,100872
摘    要:运用主成分分析方法和SPSS13.0软件分析我国原木进口量的影响因素,结果表明:我国每增加一个单位GDP,原木进口量平均增长0.00553个单位;全国木材产量每增加一个单位,原木进口量平均减少0.312个单位;家具出口量每增加一个单位,原木进口量平均增加0.0449个单位;木浆进口量每增加一个单位,原木进口量平均增长2.362个单位;人造板进口量每增加一个单位,原木进口量平均增长1.4204个单位;新建住宅面积每增加一个单位,原木进口量平均增长210.77个单位。并根据以上结论提出相关政策建议。

关 键 词:中国  原木进口  木材需求  影响因素  主成分分析

Empirical Analysis on the Influencing Factors of China's Log Imports
JIANG Xin.Empirical Analysis on the Influencing Factors of China''s Log Imports[J].Central South Forest Inventory and Planning,2010,29(3):69-72.
Authors:JIANG Xin
Institution:JIANG Xin (Statistical School, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China)
Abstract:This paper analyzed the influencing factors of Log Imports in China through principal compo- nit, log imports would increase by 0.0449 units averagely; ff wood pulp imports increase by one unit, log imports will increase by 2.362 units averagely; if plywood imports increased by one unit, log im- ports would increase by 1.4204 units averagely; if new residential area increased by one unit, log im- ports would increase by 210.77 units averagely. This paper put forward the relevant policy recommendations according to the above conclusions as well.
Keywords:China  timber imports  demand of timber  influencing factors  principal component analysis
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