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基于LEAP的居民生活能源与环境情景分析
引用本文:遆曙光,王韵,徐广印.基于LEAP的居民生活能源与环境情景分析[J].河南农业大学学报,2010,44(2).
作者姓名:遆曙光  王韵  徐广印
作者单位:1. 河南农业大学机电工程学院,河南,郑州,450002
2. 河南省信息管理学校,河南,郑州,450008
摘    要:应用LEAP软件建立河南省居民生活能源与环境模型.利用该模型模拟3个不同情景下河南省居民生活在2005-2030年问能源需求和环境影响.模拟结果表明,政策执行力度及技术推广程度对能源需求量及用能结构有较大影响,3个不同情景下的能源需求量的最大差异量达到9.8 Mtce,而且终端直接消费能源所产生的CO2排放量在3个情景下呈不同的下降趋势.

关 键 词:居民生活用能  情景分析  环境影响

Energy and environment scenario analysis for resident sector based on LEAP
TI Shu-guang,WANG Yun,XU Guang-yin.Energy and environment scenario analysis for resident sector based on LEAP[J].Journal of Henan Agricultural University,2010,44(2).
Authors:TI Shu-guang  WANG Yun  XU Guang-yin
Institution:1.College of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering/a>;Henan Agricultural University/a>;Zhengzhou 450002/a>;China/a>;2.Henan School of Information Management/a>;Zhengzhou 450008/a>;China
Abstract:To assess the energy demand and environment effect for household sector,a bottom-up LEAP Henan model was developed to simulate three different scenarios from 2005 to 2030.In this paper,taking Henan Province as an example,simulation results show that: the implementation of policies and technologies to promote the degree of intensity of energy demand and use can produce a greater impact on the structure.The three different scenarios of the greatest differences in energy demand have reached 9.8 Mtce,and the di...
Keywords:LEAP  residential energy  LEAP  scenario analysis  environmental impact
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