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| 南亚热带2月低温预测模型及其应用 | |
| 引用本文： | 陈家豪,徐宗焕,张潍民,陈家文,吴仁烨.南亚热带2月低温预测模型及其应用[J].福建农林大学学报(自然科学版),2006,35(4):337-341. |
| 作者姓名： | 陈家豪 徐宗焕 张潍民 陈家文 吴仁烨 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 福建农林大学作物科学学院,福建,福州,350002 2. 福建省气象科学研究所,福建,福州,350001 3. 福建工程学院,福建,福州,350014 4. 莆田华侨职业中专学校,福建,莆田,351117 |
| 基金项目： | 福建省科技攻关项目;福建省教育厅科研项目 |
| 摘 要： | 以周期图分析法和方差分析法对南亚热带的代表地漳州市1961-2004年共44 a历年2月各旬日最低气温旬均值和旬极端最低气温资料进行数学模拟,寻找南亚热带地区2月各旬低温的变化规律,建立了可以应用于南亚热带地区的2月各旬日最低气温旬均值变化趋势和各旬极端最低气温变化趋势的预测模型,分析了南亚热带地区2月低温出现的趋势. |
| 关 键 词： | 南亚热带 2月 低温 预测模型 果树 |
| 文章编号： | 1671-5470(2006)04-0337-05 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-09-12 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-04-15 |
Analysis and application of the model of forecasting low temperature in February in south subtropics |
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| CHEN Jia-hao,XU Zong-huan,ZHANG Wei-min,CHEN Jia-wen,WU Ren-ye.Analysis and application of the model of forecasting low temperature in February in south subtropics[J].Journal of Fujian Agricultural and Forestry University,2006,35(4):337-341. | |
| Authors: | CHEN Jia-hao XU Zong-huan ZHANG Wei-min CHEN Jia-wen WU Ren-ye |
| Institution: | 1. College of Crop Science, Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou, Fujian 350002, China; 2. Fujian Institute of Meteorological Science, Fuzhou, Fujian 350001, China ; 3. Fujian University of Technology, Fuzhou, Fujian 350014, China; 4. Putian Professional Polytechnic School of Overseas Chinese, Putian, Fujian 351117, China |
| Abstract: | By the methods of cycle figure and variance analysis,we simulated average value of minimum temperature per day each ten days in February from 1961 to 2004 and extreme minimum temperature of each ten days in February in Zhangzhou City which is the representational place of south subtropics,in order to search for the variation regularity of low temperature of each ten days in February in south subtropics and establish the forecasting model of(T)_(DX) and T_(XD) each ten days in February which can be applied in south subtropics.And through this model,we analyzed the tendency of low temperature in February in south subtropics. |
| Keywords: | south subtropics February low temperature prediction model fruit tree |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |