浙江省近10年耕地变化及直接影响因素分析——基于土地详查、变更调查及更新调查成果

目的]更直接、更全面、更精确地研究浙江省近10年来耕地变化情况及影响因素。方法]通过挖掘历年的土地调查数据,分析浙江省耕地数量变化情况及其直接影响因素。结果]研究发现,1996-2006年浙江省耕地面积净减少20.8万hm2,减幅为9.8%;耕地变化的自然影响因素中,地形坡度起直接作用,平地及陡坡地耕地减少更为迅速,缓坡地梯田面积有所增加;社会影响因素中,农业产业结构调整、建设用地规模扩展及生态退耕政策的实施直接导致耕地的减少,而严格的耕地保护政策减缓了耕地的流失。结论]耕地减少趋势不可避免,要充分利用更科学的土地利用总体规划及更严格的土地政策,保障社会经济发展的同时保护好耕地。

Analysis on the Variation of Cultivated Land and Direct Influencing Factors During 1996 to 2006 in Zhejiang Province——Based on Land Survey Results

Objective] The paper aimed at exploring the variation of cultivated land and influencing factors during 1996 to 2006 in Zhejiang Province more directly,comprehensively and accurately.Method] The variation of the amount of cultivated land in Zhejiang Province and direct influencing factors had been analyzed using the land survey results of last 10 years.Result] The cultivated land area of the whole province was reduced by 208 thousand hm2 with a decrease amplitude of 9.8%;terrain slope had played a direct role among the natural influencing factors of cultivated land variation,the cultivated land areas of flats and abrupt slopes were reduced more rapidly,while the terrace areas of gentle slopes had increased;among the social driving forces,the agricultural structure adjustment,construction land expansion and implementation of ecological restoration policy had directly led to the decline of cultivated land areas,while the strict cultivated land protection policy had slowed down the loss of cultivated land.Conclusion] In conclusion,the declining trend of cultivated land areas is inevitable,so that more scientific general planning of land utilization and more strict land policy has to be utilized more fully in order to guarantee the social and economic development and protect the cultivated land.