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1969-2013年铁岭县气温变化特征分析
引用本文:董宝磊,魏海宁,邵兵,崔曜鹏,丁伟,邢刚.1969-2013年铁岭县气温变化特征分析[J].安徽农学通报,2015(9):134-137.
作者姓名:董宝磊  魏海宁  邵兵  崔曜鹏  丁伟  邢刚
作者单位:本溪市气象局,辽宁本溪,117000;本溪市气象局,辽宁本溪,117000;本溪市气象局,辽宁本溪,117000;本溪市气象局,辽宁本溪,117000;本溪市气象局,辽宁本溪,117000;本溪市气象局,辽宁本溪,117000
摘    要:以铁岭县观测站数据为基础,选取气温要素指标,采用线性倾向估计、Mann-Kendall和累积距平法,对1969-2013年铁岭县气温变化趋势进行探讨。结果表明:近45a来,铁岭县春、夏、秋季和冬季平均气温均呈明显的增加趋势,夏季虽有增加趋势,但不显著。铁岭县年和各季平均气温均无明显突变。铁岭县在20世纪80年代末进入了明显的暖期。

关 键 词:气温  线性评估  Mann-Kendall法  气温突变

Analysis of Temperature Variation of Tieling County from 1969 to 2013
Abstract:On the base of data of Tieling observatory station and select from them the target factors of tem?perature,using estimate of lined trend and Mann-Kendall cumulative departure method to analyze the chang?ing temperature trends from 1969 to 2013 of the city. The results show that:in the past 45 years,the aver?age temperature in spring,summer,autumn and winter in Tieling showed a significant warming trend,al?though the summer warming trend is not significant. Besides,te average temperature in the region had no significant mutations. In the late 1980s the county of Tieling experienced a clear warm period.
Keywords:Temperature  Lined assessment  Mann-Kendall method  Temperature mutation
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