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沿河县耕地生产潜力及人口承载力
引用本文:田丹,周运超,周焱,蔡学成,吴凯.沿河县耕地生产潜力及人口承载力[J].贵州农业科学,2009,37(5).
作者姓名:田丹  周运超  周焱  蔡学成  吴凯
作者单位:1. 贵州大学,土地规划与信息技术研究所,贵州,贵阳,550025;贵州大学,农学院,贵州,贵阳,550025
2. 贵州大学,土地规划与信息技术研究所,贵州,贵阳,550025;贵州大学,林学院,贵州,贵阳,550025
基金项目:贵州省沿河土家族自治县土地利用总体规划资助项目 
摘    要:以沿河县为例,运用逆向因子修正法研究耕地生产潜力,并运用灰色模型对耕地、粮食产量、人口进行预测,进而对该县耕地资源承载力进行评价.结果表明,沿河县耕地生产潜力仍有46.27%可供利用,潜力较大;结合温饱型、宽裕型、小康型及富裕型这4种生活类型所需的营养结构,通过承载率比的计算,2010年、2020年沿河县耕地资源人口承载力达到小康型水平,富裕型在现有生产条件下较难实现.

关 键 词:耕地生产潜力  耕地人口承载力  沿河县  贵州

Productive Potentiality and Population Sustainability of Cultivated Land in Yanhe County
TIAN Dan,ZHOU Yun-chao,ZHOU Yan,CAI Xue-cheng,WU Kai.Productive Potentiality and Population Sustainability of Cultivated Land in Yanhe County[J].Guizhou Agricultural Sciences,2009,37(5).
Authors:TIAN Dan  ZHOU Yun-chao  ZHOU Yan  CAI Xue-cheng  WU Kai
Institution:1.Institute of Land Planning and Information Technology;Guizhou University;Guiyang;Guizhou 550025;2.Agricultural College;3.Forestry College;China
Abstract:The productive potentiality of cultivated land,and cultivated land,grain yield and population were analyzed and forecasted by the conversed factor amendment method and grey model respectively to evaluate its sustainability of cultivated land resource in Yanhe county.The results showed that 46.72% of productive potentiality of cultivated land can be developed in the future in Yanhe county.The comfortable and well-off living level of Yanhe county will be hard to be realized in 2010 and 2020 respectively accor...
Keywords:production potentiality  population sustainability of cultivated land  Yanhe county  Guizhou  
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