计划行为理论视角下农户参与用水 协会意愿影响因素研究 ———基于结构方程模型的实证分析

20 世纪80 年代以来，发达国家和发展中国家大都经历了灌溉管理制度改革，即将灌溉管理权利和责任从政府机构向用水协会或其地方非营利组织转移。农民用水协会被广泛认为是地方农业灌溉管理的卓越制度安排。农户参与对用水协会的绩效有重要影响。因此，基于计划行为理论，构建了影响农户参与用水协会行为因素的理论分析框架，并利用江西省307 位农户的调查数据，运用结构方程模型方法，实证分析了影响农户参与用水协会行为因素。结果表明，主观规范、行为控制认知显著正向影响农户参与用水协会的意向，而行为态度对农户参与用水协会的意向影响不显著。行为意向显著影响农户的决策参与和灌溉管理参与。

Evaluation on the development level of low carbon tourism for national forest park --Taking Jiadengyu National Forest Park as example

As the climate changes and sustainable development of tourism receives more and more attention from the world, the development of low carbon tourism is increasingly highlighting its importance on the sustainable development of tourism. Forest park, a tourism resource with biodiversity of the natural ecosystem, plays an important role in the maintenance of stability on the terrestrial ecosystem. In this paper, an index system for evaluation on the low-carbon tourism of national forest park was established, which used AHP and Delphi method to ascertain the index weight. Then, taking Jiadengyu National Forest Park as the example for practical study, it concluded that the low-carbon development level of the Jiadengyu National Forest Park was 0.656. At this development stage, we should put emphasis on increasing the low carbon propaganda and encouragement on tourists and tourism enterprises so as to establish a better low-carbon tourism management mechanism.