人力资本、物质资本对文化产业增长影响的实证研究

基于1996~2012年的统计数据，考量人力资本、物质资本、技术进步等因素对中国文化产业经济增长的贡献率，及其与文化产业之间的短期和长期均衡关系。结果表明：当前文化产业仍然以粗放型经济增长模式为主，文化产业增长的贡献主要来源于物质资本和劳动投入，人力资本和技术进步在文化产业增长中的作用还不明显；中国文化产业经济增长以劳动和资本投入为主，人力资本的作用要大于物质资本。

An Empirical Study of Influence on Human Capital and Material Capital to Culture Industry Growth

Based on the statistic data during 1996~2012, this research measured the contribution rate of such factors, like human capital, material capital and technology promotion, to the economic increase in Chinese culture industry. And the short-term and the long-term equilibria, between these three factors and culture industry, has also been measured. The results indicate that Chinese culture industry is still in the pattern of an extensive economic growth, and mostly increased due to the material capital and labor input, while the role of human capital and technology promotion is not obvious. Meanwhile, the long-term equilibrium result shows that human capital will be more important than material capital in the long run. On this basis, some suggestions for the development of Chinese culture industry in the future were proposed in this paper.