| 外出务工对留守人员农业劳动供给的影响——基于CFPS2012的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 钱龙,张忠明,李宁.外出务工对留守人员农业劳动供给的影响——基于CFPS2012的实证分析[J].中国农业大学学报,2018,23(2):169-181. |
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| 作者姓名： | 钱龙 张忠明 李宁 |
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| 作者单位： | 南京财经大学粮食安全与战略研究中心;中国计量大学经济与管理学院; |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金面上项目（71703063，71503119）；浙江省自然科学基金项目（LY15G030026）；南京财经大学青年学者支持计划（Q-LXW17001） |
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| 摘 要： | 基于中国家庭动态追踪调查数据CFPS2012实证分析了家庭成员外出务工对留守人员农业劳动供给的影响。研究结果表明:1)家庭成员外出务工会负向影响留守人员的农业劳动供给,随着外出务工率的提升,留守人员的农业劳动参与率和劳动供给时间均会随之下降。2)家庭成员外出务工后,留守老人和留守女性的农业劳动供给也会相应减少。3)如果不考虑内生性和样本选择偏差,则会低估外出务工对留守人员农业劳动供给的影响。
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| 关 键 词： | 外出务工 农业劳动参与率 农业劳动供给时间 CFPS |
| 收稿时间： | 2017/4/16 0:00:00 |
Impact of migration on agricultural labor supply of left-behind farmers: An empirical analysis based on CFPS2012 |
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| QIAN Long,ZHANG Zhongming and LI Ning.Impact of migration on agricultural labor supply of left-behind farmers: An empirical analysis based on CFPS2012[J].Journal of China Agricultural University,2018,23(2):169-181. |
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| Authors: | QIAN Long ZHANG Zhongming and LI Ning |
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| Institution: | Center for Food Security and Strategy Research, Nanjing University of Finance and Economics, Nanjing 210003, China,School of Economics and Management, China Jiliang University, Hangzhou 310018, China and Center for Food Security and Strategy Research, Nanjing University of Finance and Economics, Nanjing 210003, China |
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| Abstract: | Based on CFPS2012,the influence of family members'' migration effect on left-behind workers'' agricultural labor supply is reanalyzed.The results show that:1) Family members'' migration can affect the supply of agricultural labors.With the increase of the rate of agricultural labor participation,left-behind workers'' labor supply will decrease.2) While family members go out for work,agricultural labor supply from left-behind elderly and women will also decrease accordingly.3) Without considering endogeneity and sample selection bias,the impact of migration on left-behind''s agricultural labor supply will be underestimated. |
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| Keywords: | migrant workers agricultural participation rate agricultural supply time CFPS |
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