| 内蒙古武川县降水量的分析与预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 崔学明,姚贵平,闫洁,韩应华.内蒙古武川县降水量的分析与预测[J].内蒙古农业大学学报(自然科学版),1999,20(3):1. |
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| 作者姓名： | 崔学明 姚贵平 闫洁 韩应华 |
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| 作者单位： | 内蒙古农业大学农学院!(崔学明)，内蒙古农业大学基础课部(姚贵平，韩应华)，内蒙古农业大学治沙系!呼和浩特010018(闫洁) |
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| 摘 要： | 干旱地区的降水量是制约农牧业生产的主要因子。本文做了保证率的计算和分析并应用灰色系统 Ｇ（１ ，１） 预测模型，对内蒙古武川县未来年份的降水量进行了灰色预测，预测效果良好，可为农牧业生产单位及决策者提供长期的依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色预测 降水量 预测模型 保证率 |
| 修稿时间： | 1999-06-03 |
ANALYZES AND GREY FORECAST
OF RAINFALL IN WUCHUAN BANNER INNER MONGOLIA |
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| CUI Xue-ming ,YAO Gui-ping ,YAN Jie ,HAN Ying-hua.ANALYZES AND GREY FORECAST
OF RAINFALL IN WUCHUAN BANNER INNER MONGOLIA[J].Journal of Inner Mongolia Agricultural University(Natural Science Edition),1999,20(3):1. |
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| Authors: | CUI Xue-ming YAO Gui-ping YAN Jie HAN Ying-hua |
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| Institution: | CUI Xue-ming 1,YAO Gui-ping 2,YAN Jie 3,HAN Ying-hua 2 |
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| Abstract: | In arid areas, rainfall is the main factor that restricts the product of farming and animal husbandry. The rate of guarantee was analyzed and caculated and the Grey system G (1,1)was applied to Grey forecasting the rainfall of the caning hew year in DA Mao Banner, Inner Mongolia. The effect was proved to be very good. So this kind of method can provide a long-term proof for production untis and policymakers. |
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| Keywords: | grey forecast pattern rainfall forecast guarantee rate |
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