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香梨果实生长与气象因子的关系
引用本文:张倩,李新建,吴新国.香梨果实生长与气象因子的关系[J].山西农业科学,2014(4):376-379.
作者姓名:张倩  李新建  吴新国
作者单位:[1]新疆信息工程学校,新疆乌鲁木齐830013 [2]新疆农业气象台,新疆乌鲁木齐830002 [3]库尔勒市气象局,新疆库尔勒841000
基金项目:财政部公益性行业(气象)科研专项经费项目(GYHY201106025)
摘    要:在香梨果实生长发育期,通过定期测定果实横、纵径,对香梨果实生长发育规律及其与气象因子的关系进行了初步探索。结果表明,香梨果实横、纵径均呈持续增长趋势,横、纵径每10 d增长量呈现出2个相互重叠的增长高峰。通过灰色关联度分析法得出,60 cm地温是影响香梨果实膨大的主导气象因素。利用逐步回归分析法,建立了香梨果实日增长量与气象因子的回归模型,通过检验,模型效果较好,可为果园科学管理提供理论参考。

关 键 词:香梨  果实生长  灰色关联度  回归模型

Relationship between Korla Pear Fruit Growth and Meteorological Factors
ZHANG Qian,LI Xin-jian,WU Xin-guo.Relationship between Korla Pear Fruit Growth and Meteorological Factors[J].Journal of Shanxi Agricultural Sciences,2014(4):376-379.
Authors:ZHANG Qian  LI Xin-jian  WU Xin-guo
Institution:3 ( 1.Xinjiang School of Information Engineering, Urumqi 830013, China; 2.Xinjiang Agricultural Meteorological Station, Urumqi 830002, China; 3.Korla Meteorological Bureau, Korla 841000, China)
Abstract:Through measuring the longitudinal and transverse diameters of Korla pear fruit in the growth and development period, the relationship between growth dynamics rhythm of Korla pear fruit and meteorological factors was analyzed. The results showed that the longitudinal and transverse diameters of pear fruit had a sustained growth trend, and their growth amount of every l0 days had two overlapping peaks. Grey relational analysis showed that the average 60 cm ground temperature was the dominant meteorological factors affecting the enlargement of pear fruit. A regression model between daily pear fruit growth and meteorological factors was developed using stepwise regression analysis to provide theoretical reference for the scientific management of orchards.
Keywords:Korla fragrant pear  fruit growth  gray correlation  regression model
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