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大连城市森林综合生态效益动态预测研究
引用本文:陆贵巧,谷建才,郑辉,白顺江,张锁成,李永杰.大连城市森林综合生态效益动态预测研究[J].河北农业大学学报,2006,29(3):53-57.
作者姓名:陆贵巧  谷建才  郑辉  白顺江  张锁成  李永杰
作者单位:1. 北京林业大学,北京,100083;河北农业大学,河北,保定,071000
2. 河北农业大学,河北,保定,071000
3. 北京林业大学,北京,100083;河北省林业局,河北,石家庄,051000
摘    要:以大连城市森林资源为研究对象,运用系统动力学原理和方法,通过动态系统仿真模型的构建,对大连城市森林生态效益动态进行了仿真。该生态效益系统模型共选取199个变量、105个常量,其中9个状态变量,27个流速变量。该模型对2005-2025年间各种生态效益的变化趋势进行仿真。仿真结果为大连城市森林规划、合理开发利用森林资源提供数据资料,为森林资源的保护和管理提供决策的依据。

关 键 词:系统动力学  系统模拟  生态效益
文章编号:1000-1573(2006)03-0053-05
收稿时间:2006-01-06
修稿时间:2006-01-06

Dynamic prediction of comprehensive ecological benefit of urban forest in Dalian city
LU Gui-qiao,GU Jian-cai,ZHENG Hui,BAI Shun-jiang,ZHANG Suo-cheng,LI Yong-jie.Dynamic prediction of comprehensive ecological benefit of urban forest in Dalian city[J].Journal of Agricultural University of Hebei,2006,29(3):53-57.
Authors:LU Gui-qiao  GU Jian-cai  ZHENG Hui  BAI Shun-jiang  ZHANG Suo-cheng  LI Yong-jie
Institution:1. Beijing Forestry University, Beiiing 100083, China; 2. Agricultural University of Hebei, Baoding 071000, China; 3. Forestry Department of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang 051000, China
Abstract:Taking the urban forest resource in Dalian city as the research objective,the authors carried out the studies on dynamic simulation of ecological benefit of urban forest.The dynamic simulation model is developed guided by the principle of system dynamics.This ecological benefit model refers to 199 variables and 105 constants,of which including 9 state variables and 27 flow variables.The variations of eco-benefit from 2005 to 2025 are simulated with this model.The simulated results are referential to the urban forest planning,forest resource utilization,forest protection and to the decision making.
Keywords:system dynamics  system simulation  ecological benefit  
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