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甘肃小陇山林业病虫灾害气象评估技术研究
引用本文:姚晓红,许彦平,袁佰顺.甘肃小陇山林业病虫灾害气象评估技术研究[J].西北农林科技大学学报(社会科学版),2012,40(10):64-68.
作者姓名:姚晓红  许彦平  袁佰顺
作者单位:中国气象局 兰州干旱研究所/甘肃省干旱气候变化与减灾重点实验室/中国气象局干旱气候变化与减灾重点开放实验室;甘肃省天水农业气象试验站;甘肃省天水农业气象试验站;甘肃省天水市气象局
基金项目:科技部公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY 200806021);甘肃省气象局气象科研面上项目(2011-15)
摘    要:【目的】研究环境气象条件与甘肃小陇山林区林业病虫灾害发生面积的关系。【方法】采用异常度指标分析法,建立森林病害、虫害、病虫害发生面积气象因子评估模型,并用该模型对1992-2007年甘肃小陇山林区年林业病虫灾害发生面积进行综合评估。【结果】成功建立了林业病害、虫害、病虫害发生面积气象评估模型,该模型对林业病害评估的准确率为80%~100%,对林业虫害评估的准确率为75%~100%,对林业病虫灾害综合评估的准确率为67%~100%。【结论】所建立模型对林业病虫灾害评估效果较理想,对林业病虫灾害防控有一定的指导意义。

关 键 词:小陇山  森林  病虫灾害  气象条件  评估技术
收稿时间:2012/2/24 0:00:00

Study of meteorological assessment techniques of forest diseases and pests in Xiaolong mountain
YAO Xiao-hong,XU Yan-ping,YUAN Bai-shun,HAN Lan-ying,YAO Xiao-lin,HAN Hai-hui.Study of meteorological assessment techniques of forest diseases and pests in Xiaolong mountain[J].Journal of Northwest Sci-Tech Univ of Agr and,2012,40(10):64-68.
Authors:YAO Xiao-hong  XU Yan-ping  YUAN Bai-shun  HAN Lan-ying  YAO Xiao-lin  HAN Hai-hui
Institution:1 Lanzhou Institute of Arid Meteorology,Key Open Laboratory of Arid Climate Change and Reducing Disaster,China Meteorological Administration,Key Laboratory of Arid Climate Change and Reducing Disaster of Gansu Province,Laizhou, Gansu 730020,China;2 Tianshui Agrometeorological Experiment Station,Tianshui,Gansu 741000,China; 3 Gansu Province Tianshui Meteorological Bureau,Tianshui,Gansu 741000,China;4 Northwest Regional Climate Center, Lanzhou,Gansu 730020,China;5 Gansu Province Mingxian Meteorological Bureau,Mingxian,Gansu 748400,China)
Abstract:【Objective】 The research was to study environment meteorological conditions and the area of Xiaolong Mountain forest zone pest disasters.【Method】 Using abnormal index analysis,the model for forest diseases,insect pest in area and meteorological factors’s abnormal on the level and evaluation was established,and then comprehensive assessment on Xiaolong Mountain forest zone pest disasters area from 1992 to 2007 was made.【Result】 The accuracy rate of forest disease assessment is 80%-100%,forestry pest assessment 75%-100%,forest diseases,insect disasters comprehensive assessment of 67%-100%.【Conclusion】 The model has better assessment effect and could guide control of forest diseases and pests.
Keywords:Xiaolong mountain  forest  diseases and pests disasters  meteorological condition  assessment techniques
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