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基于相关分析的流域汛期划分初探
引用本文:郭 霞,王正中,王双银.基于相关分析的流域汛期划分初探[J].西北农林科技大学学报(社会科学版),2010,38(3):206-210.
作者姓名:郭 霞  王正中  王双银
作者单位:西北农林科技大学水工程安全与病害防治研究中心;西北农林科技大学理学院;西北农林科技大学水利与建筑工程学院;
基金项目:国家“863”高新技术研究与发展计划项目(2002AA62Z3191); 国家冻土工程重点实验室基金项目(9901)
摘    要:【目的】确定恰当的流域汛期,为水库的防洪安全奠定基础,同时为水资源的优化调度提供决策依据。【方法】基于相关分析方法,采用千河流域31年的日均流量资料,对流域不同时段的径流自相关性进行研究,根据其显著性差异确定千河流域的汛期和主汛期。最后从水文气象学原理出发,结合西北地区的气候特征分析,对汛期和主汛期的划分结果进行验证。【结果】确定千河流域的汛期为5月下旬至10月上旬,与千河流域主要降雨期一致;主汛期为07-01-08-31,与千河流域的暴雨峰值期一致;说明汛期、主汛期的划分结果是合理的。【结论】基于相关分析法的汛期划分研究,方法简单直观,物理概念清晰,可为千河流域冯家山水库的安全运行及水资源调度决策提供参考。

关 键 词:相关分析  自相关系数  汛期划分  主汛期
收稿时间:9/7/2009 12:00:00 AM

Preliminary study of basins' flood season division based on correlation analysis
GUO Xiaa,c,WANG Zheng-zhonga,b,WANG Shuang-yinb.Preliminary study of basins' flood season division based on correlation analysis[J].Journal of Northwest Sci-Tech Univ of Agr and,2010,38(3):206-210.
Authors:GUO Xiaa  c  WANG Zheng-zhonga  b  WANG Shuang-yinb
Institution:GUO Xiaa,c,WANG Zheng-zhonga,b,WANG Shuang-yinb(a Research Center of Engineering Safety , Disease Prevention,b College of Water Resources , Architectural Engineering,c College of Science,Northwest A&F University,Yangling,Shaanxi,712100,China)
Abstract:Objective] The research was conducted to determine the flood season and main flood season properly,make sure of the base of hydrological safety and the prerequisite of water resource optimization dispatch.Method] With the 31 years daily flow data of Qianhe basin,the self-correlation coefficients of runoff in different time were calculated by correlation analysis.According to the self-correlation significant and the coefficient critical value table,the flood season and the main flood season were determined...
Keywords:correlation analysis  self-correlation coefficient  flood season division  main flood season  
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