| 灰色自记忆模型及其在新疆和田地下水埋深预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 沈 冰,刘 敏,黄领梅.灰色自记忆模型及其在新疆和田地下水埋深预测中的应用[J].西北农林科技大学学报(社会科学版),2006,34(11):223-226. |
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| 作者姓名： | 沈 冰 刘 敏 黄领梅 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 西北农林科技大学,农业水土工程教育部开放实验室,陕西,杨凌,712100;西安理工大学,西北水资源与环境生态教育部重点实验室,陕西,西安,710048
2. 西安理工大学,西北水资源与环境生态教育部重点实验室,陕西,西安,710048 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金;教育部重点实验室基金 |
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| 摘 要： | 运用灰色微分方程与自记忆原理相结合的方法,建立了地下水埋深预测的灰色自记忆模型,并以新疆和田市地下水长期观测井GW9为例进行了埋深模拟和预测。结果表明,该模型具有较高的模拟及预测精度,且简洁实用。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色微分方程 自记忆原理 地下水埋深预测 新疆和田 |
| 文章编号： | 1671-9387(2006)11-0223-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-11-14 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005年11月14 |
Grey self-memory model and its application in the prediction of groundwater depth in Hotan,Xinjiang |
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| SHEN Bing,LIU Min,HUANG Ling-mei.Grey self-memory model and its application in the prediction of groundwater depth in Hotan,Xinjiang[J].Journal of Northwest Sci-Tech Univ of Agr and,2006,34(11):223-226. |
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| Authors: | SHEN Bing LIU Min HUANG Ling-mei |
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| Institution: | 1 Open-oriental Laboratory of Agriculture Water and Soil Engineering,Northwest A & F University,Yangling,Shaanxi 712100,China;2 Northwest of Water Resources and Environment Ecology Key Laboratory at XAUT,,Xi’an,Shaanxi 710048,China) |
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| Abstract: | By combining the grey differential equation with self-memory theory,the grey self-memory model for groundwater depth prediction was established in Hotan,and it was used to predict groundwater depth of observation well GW9 as a case study.The results show that the suggested model is of high simulation and prediction accuracy with the merits of simple and practical application. |
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| Keywords: | grey differential equation self-memory theory prediction of ground water depth Hotan Xinjiang |
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