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生态经济区城市化与生态环境整合动态评价——以雅安市为例
引用本文:杨娟,王昌全,李冰,牛峰.生态经济区城市化与生态环境整合动态评价——以雅安市为例[J].四川农业大学学报,2006,24(4):426-431.
作者姓名:杨娟  王昌全  李冰  牛峰
作者单位:1. 四川农业大学,资源环境学院,四川,雅安,625014
2. 青岛市国土资源局,山东,青岛,266002
摘    要:结合雅安市实际,以1998-2002年的统计数据为基础,综合城市化综合素质、环境和生态3个子系统的基础上,建立了城市化与生态环境整合动态评价指标体系(包括36个指标),构造了各项对应指标的目标序列,并将其作为该市2007年的规划值,运用灰色关联度方法得到各子系统分指数和整合综合指数,并对其变化趋势进行了评价和分析。其结果表明:雅安市城市化综合发展分指数处于初级发展类水平,城市和经济发展发展缓慢;环境质量和污染控制指数从1999年开始持续增长,到2002年基本接近中等发展水平;生态资源分指数相对较高,处于强生态弱经济基本协调发展模式;城市化与生态环境整合综合指数较低,与目标值关联度较低。总体看来,雅安市目前正按照强生态弱经济的基本协调模式发展,处在城市化与生态环境相互协调发展的层次不高的初级发展阶段,今后将经历弱经济弱生态环境的调和阶段。

关 键 词:城市化  生态环境  动态评价
文章编号:1000-2650(2006)04-0426-06
收稿时间:2006-09-04
修稿时间:2006年9月4日

The Integrating Dynamic Evaluation on Urbanization and Entironment in Economic Area of Ecosystem——Taking Yaan as Example
YANG Juan,WANG Chang-quan,LI Bing,NIU Feng.The Integrating Dynamic Evaluation on Urbanization and Entironment in Economic Area of Ecosystem——Taking Yaan as Example[J].Journal of Sichuan Agricultural University,2006,24(4):426-431.
Authors:YANG Juan  WANG Chang-quan  LI Bing  NIU Feng
Institution:1. College of Resource and Environment, Sichuan Agricultural University, Yaan 625014, Sichuan, China; 2. Qingdao Bureau of Land and resources, Qingdao 266002, Shandong, China
Abstract:In this paper, based on integrating three sub-systems that are of comprehensive characters in urbanization, environment and ecology, the index system of integrating dynamic evaluation on urbanization and entironment in Yaan city was established with the actual circumstance, the quantitative evaluating method model of the index system was designed and Grey Relation Analysis and AHP were combined to carry out integrating dynamic evaluation on urbanization development and entironment. In the instance evaluation of Yaan city, 36 element indexes in the three sub-systems were chosen to construct target sequence of each corresponding index, which was taken as programming value in 2007 in Yaan city. Grey Relation Analysis was applied to get each index of each sub-system and integrating comprehension indexes and its changing trend was evaluated and analyzed. Aiming at worse urbanization development but better ecology resources in Yaan city, concrete suggestions were put forward to providing gist and information help for macro management and decision-making of government departments.
Keywords:urbanization  entironment  dynamic evaluation
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