基于指数平滑模型的海南省芒果价格预测

海南省芒果价格既受市场供求关系的影响，又受自然条件、社会和经济条件的影响，还受国际市场的影响，这就造成了海南省芒果价格预测的困难。现通过对过去一段时间海南省芒果价格变化情况的研究、分析，建立海南省芒果的价格指数平滑模型，用该模型拟合海南省芒果历史走势，根据模型预测海南省芒果未来几年的价格变化情况。试验结果表明，该模型能够有效的对海南省芒果价格曲线进行拟合、预测。

Forecasting Price of Mangos in Hainan Province Based on the Exponential Smoothing Model

Price of mangos in Hainan Province is affected by the relationship between supply and demand of mangos,while the price itself especially in the international markets is subject to natural conditions,social and economic conditions.Therefore,forecasting price of mangos is a difficult but significant job.An exponential smoothing model for mango price in Hainan Province was made based on the prices in the past to fit the historical price trend and forecast the future price of mangos.The results showed that this...