基于灰色关联理论的海南省农民人均纯收入分析

运用灰色系统理论的关联分析方法．对海南省农民人均纯收入与影响农民人均纯收入的主要因素进行了实证研究。研究结果表明．各因素对农民人均纯收入影响的关联序为：农业贷款、乡镇企业贷款（0．8382）〉农业机械总动力（0．8353）〉农业生产资料价格总指数（0．7964）〉农村家庭从业人员（0．7303）〉粮食单位面积产量（0．7011）〉农业人口数（0．6843）〉农业生产总值（0．6789）〉耕地总面积（0．6708）〉粮食占农作物总播种面积比重（0．6444）。在此基础上．根据关联度的分析，对如何发挥主导因素的作州，提高海南省农民人均纯收入提出了政策建议。

Analysis of Rural Per Capita Net Income in Hainan Province Based on Gray Relational Theory

An empirical study of rural per capita net income and its impact factors in Hainan Province were conducted by means of correlation analysis of gray system theory. The results showed that various factors that affected the rural per capita net income were in the correlation order as follows： agricultural loans and township enterprises loans （0.8382）〉total power of farm machinery （0.8353）〉overall price index of agricultural means of production （0.7964）〉practitioners of rural family （0.7303）〉grain yield per unit area （0.7011）〉agricultural population （0.6843）〉gross agricultural production （0.6789）〉total area of cultivated land （0.6708）〉sown area of grain crops accounted for the proportion of the total sown area （0.6444）. Based on the analysis of correlation, some suggestions were given on how to improve the per capita net income of farmers in Hainan Province.