| 格尔木地区光伏电站太阳辐射预报方法研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 郭晓宁,保广裕,李海凤等.格尔木地区光伏电站太阳辐射预报方法研究[J].安徽农业科学,2014(6):1772-1775. |
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| 作者姓名： | 郭晓宁 保广裕 李海凤等 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]青海省格尔木市气象局,青海格尔木816000 [2]青海省气象服务中心,青海西宁810001 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用1961~2010年格尔木地区及其周边站点的常规和辐射气象资料,通过天气学原理和方法,针对格尔木地区影响光伏电站太阳辐射的天气环流形势和影响系统进行了详细的分析,提取了预报指标建立了预报方法,并对预报的结论进行了检验。结果表明,此研究建立的辐射预报方法预报与实况误差较小,该方法对逐时、逐日太阳辐射的预报均具有使用价值,该方法能为格尔木地区光伏产业发展提供必要的气象科技支撑和决策依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 格尔木 太阳辐射 预报方法 光伏电站 |
Solar Radition Forecasting Method for PV Power Station of Golmud Area in Qinghai |
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| Institution: | GUO Xiao-ning( 1.Qinghai Golmud City Meteorological Bureau, Golmud, Qinghai 816000;) |
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| Abstract: | By using the principle and method of synoptic meteorology,based on the meteorological data of Golmud area in 1961-2010,this paper analyzed the weather circulation situation and influence system of Golmud area that influencing the solar radiation of PV power station.It tested forecasting results from the forecast index and prediction method.Results showed that：there is a small error between the radiation prediction method established in this study and the actual observation.Therefore,the method for prediction of hourly,daily solar radiation has use value and can provide necessary technical support and decision-making basis for the development of photovoltaic industry in Golmud area. |
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| Keywords: | Golmud Solar radiation Forecasting method PV power station |
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