栾川日光温室冬季气温预报模式研究

利用栾川县祥王种植专业合作社冬季日光温室内外气温监测数据及相应气象资料,采用一元回归分析法建立冬季日光温室气温预测模型,并与实际值进行对比。结果表明,温室内外气温存在显著相关性,且表现为不同天气下室内外最低气温相关性较最高气温显著;利用一元回归分析法建立的气温预测模型,晴天和阴天下预报质量高,效果明显,而在多云天气条件下,预测值与实际值存在差异,但仍有一定的参考价值。

Study on Winter Temperature Forecasting Model of Sunlight Greenhouse in Luanchuan

Using the internal and external temperature monitoring data and corresponding meteorological data of winter sunlight greenhouse in Luanchuan County, the temperature prediction model of winter sunlight greenhouse was established by using the single regression analysis method, and compared with the actual value.The results showed that there was a significant correlation between the temperature inside and out-side the greenhouse, and the correlation between the minimum temperature of inside and outside the greenhouse was higher than that of the maximum temperature.The weather forecast model established by the single regression analysis method was high quality and obvious effect in sunny and overcast.In the cloudy weather conditions, the predicted value and the actual value were different, but there was still some refer-ence value.