农作物种植结构对农民收入的影响机制研究——基于四川剑阁县57个乡镇2010-2014年的面板数据

在精准扶贫背景下,以典型贫困山区剑阁县57个乡镇2010-2014年的面板数据为基础,分析了农作物种植结构对农民收入的影响,精准地量化了5种粮食作物(小麦、水稻、玉米、番薯、大豆)和3种经济作物(油菜、花生、烤烟)对于农民收入的影响机制.结果发现,经济作物总体上要比粮食作物更能给农民收入带来正向影响,其中剑阁县应该种植水稻、大豆、油菜和烤烟4种农作物以促进农民增收.该研究对于农村因地制宜调整农作物类型、优化种植结构、发展精准农业,从而有效促进农民增收具有重要现实意义,也可为精准扶贫提供精准数据,提出一个精准化研究视角.

Study on the Influence Mechanism of Crop Planting Structure on Farmer's Income Based on the Panel Data of 57 Townships in Jiange County of Sichuan Province from 2010 to 2014

Under the background of precise poverty alleviation,based on panel data of typical impoverished mountainous area Jiange 57 townships during 2010-2014,the influence of crop planting structure on farmers' income was analyzed,the impact mechanism of five crops (wheat,rice,corn,sweet potato,soybean) and three economic crops (rapeseed,peanut,flue-cured tobacco) on farmers'income was accurately quantified.The results showed that the economic crop was more likely to have a positive impact on the income of the farmers than the grain crops.In Jiange County,4 kinds of crops,rice,soybean,rape and flue-cured tobacco,should be planted in order to promote the increase of farmers'income.The research is of great practical significance for adjusting the crop type,optimizing the planting structure and developing precision agriculture,so as to effectively promote the increase of farmers'income.It can also provide precise data for precise poverty alleviation,and put forward a precise perspective.