| 基于市场动态反应模型与计算机模拟的神华煤炭市场营销预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 李明亮,陈亮,魏立.基于市场动态反应模型与计算机模拟的神华煤炭市场营销预测[J].安徽农业科学,2009,37(30):14973-14975. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李明亮 陈亮 魏立 |
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| 作者单位： | 桂林理工大学管理学院,广西,桂林,541004 |
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| 摘 要： | 首先构建了神华煤炭市场动态预测反应模型，通过灰色动态预测模型GM（1，1）和时间序列法并与计算机模拟预测相结合，提供实际预测操作模型，参照预测等级评价表对预测结果进行评价，产量、销售量的预测结果和过程都为优。最后根据预测结果分析神华煤炭市场情况，并提出建议。为各企业成功解决信息不完全情况下的预测问题提供实例。
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| 关 键 词： | 市场动态预测反应模型 计算机模拟 神华煤炭 GM(1 1)模型 时间序列法 |
Shenhua Coal Marketing Prediction Based on the Dynamic Reaction Model and Computer Simulation |
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| LI Ming-liang et al.Shenhua Coal Marketing Prediction Based on the Dynamic Reaction Model and Computer Simulation[J].Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences,2009,37(30):14973-14975. |
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| Authors: | LI Ming-liang |
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| Institution: | LI Ming-liang et al (Management School of Guilin University of Technology,Guilin,Guangxi 541004) |
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| Abstract: | Reaction model of Shenhua coal market dynamic prediction was established.Through gray dynamic prediction model GM(1,1) and time sequence method combined with computer simulation,the actual prediction operating model was provided.Then,the prediction results were evaluated referring to prediction grade assessment table.The results showed that prediction results and process of yield and sales volume were better.Finally,according to the prediction results,analyzed Shenhua coal market and put forward some advice... |
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| Keywords: | Reaction model of market dynamic prediction Computer simulation Shenhua coal GM(1 1) model Time sequence method |
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