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耕地动态变化与社会经济发展的相关性分析——以广西壮族自治区为例
引用本文:胡何男,胡宝清,田涛.耕地动态变化与社会经济发展的相关性分析——以广西壮族自治区为例[J].安徽农业科学,2012,40(24):12255-12256,12259.
作者姓名:胡何男  胡宝清  田涛
作者单位:广西师范学院资源与环境科学学院,广西南宁,530001
基金项目:广西北部湾重大专项项目(2011GXNSFE018003);广西“新世纪十百千人才工程”第二层次人选资助专项(2007224);广西研究生教育创新计划资助项目(2011106030705M03)
摘    要:根据广西壮族自治区2005~2009年的统计资料,运用相关系数法分析了广西耕地动态变化过程,并选取广西总人口、人均GDP、社会固定资产投资、第二产业比重、第三产业比重等社会经济指标,定量分析了社会经济的发展对耕地面积变化的影响。结果表明,2005~2009年广西耕地面积在总体上呈减少趋势,社会经济的持续快速发展对这一时段耕地减少起着重要作用,但影响程度正在逐步降低,第三产业比重与耕地面积的相关性不大。

关 键 词:广西  耕地变化  社会经济发展  相关分析

Analysis of the Correlation between the Cultivated Land Change and Socio-economic Development in Guangxi
Institution:HU He-nan et al(Faculty of Resources and Environment Sciences,Guangxi Teachers Education University,Nanning,Guangxi 530001)
Abstract:According to the statistical data of Guangxi Province from 2005 to 2009,the dynamic changes of Guangxi cultivated lands were analyzed with the method of correlation coefficient,and the impact of socio-economic development on the change of cultivated lands was quantitatively analyzed with the indices of total Guangxi population,per capita GDP,social investment in fixed assets,proportion of the second and tertiary industry,etc..As indicated by the results,the total cultivated area in Guangxi presented a decreasing trend from 2005 to 2009,the rapid development of society and economy produced significant influence on the decrease of cultivated lands,but the influential degree was gradually decreasing,and there was little correlation between the proportion of the tertiary industry and the cultivated lands.
Keywords:Guangxi  Cultivated land change  Socio-economic development  Correlation analysis
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