| 云南省贫困片区居民收入差距分析与预测——以昭通市鲁甸县为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 石璐,扈立家.云南省贫困片区居民收入差距分析与预测——以昭通市鲁甸县为例[J].安徽农业科学,2013,41(9):4109-4110,4128. |
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| 作者姓名： | 石璐 扈立家 |
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| 作者单位： | 西南林业大学经济管理学院,云南昆明,650224 |
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| 摘 要： | 以云南省昭通市鲁甸县为例,根据2002～2011年鲁甸县居民收入差距的数据,运用Compertz曲线模型,用Eviews软件进行拟合,对鲁甸县居民收入差距进行分析,并给出了2012～2015年鲁甸县居民收入差距的预测值,预测结果显示鲁甸县的居民收入差距会继续扩大。提出了缩小鲁甸县居民收入的相关对策,为云南其他国家级贫困县居民收入差距扩大问题的解决提供启示。
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| 关 键 词： | 鲁甸县 贫困片区 居民收入差距 Compertz曲线模型 分析与预测 |
Analysis and Forecast on Residents Income Gap in Poor Area in Yunnan Province——A Case in Ludian County of Zhaotong City |
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| Institution: | SHI Lu et al (School of Economics and Management in Southwest Forestry University, Kunming, Yunnan 650224) |
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| Abstract: | With Ludian County in Zhaotong City, Yunnan Province as an example, according to data of residents income gap during 2002 - 2011, using Compertz curve model, Eviews software was adopted for fitting, the residents income gap in Ludian County was analyzed. The pre- dicted value during 2012 -2015 was put forward. The prediction results showed that the income Gap will eontinue to expand. Several correspond- ing countermeasures to shorten the gap were put forward, which will provide enlightenment for solving residents income gap expanding problem in other state-level poverty counties of Yunnan. |
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| Keywords: | Ludian County Poverty region Income gap of residents Compertz curve model Analysis and forecast |
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