| 基于马尔科夫模型的土地景观动态模拟预测研究——以重庆永川市为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 彭月,魏虹,朱韦.基于马尔科夫模型的土地景观动态模拟预测研究——以重庆永川市为例[J].安徽农业科学,2006,34(23):6172-6173. |
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| 作者姓名： | 彭月 魏虹 朱韦 |
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| 作者单位： | 西南大学生命科学学院,三峡库区生态环境教育部重点实验室,重庆,400715 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国博士后科学基金资助项目(2003033483) |
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| 摘 要： | 在遥感和地理信息技术支持下,利用马尔科夫模型模拟和预测重庆永川市的土地景观变化。结果表明:在现有的干扰不变情况下,研究区景观将达到一个稳定时状态,此时各土地景观面积分别为:耕地41.88 hm2、林地0、草地18.13 hm2、水域11.98 hm2、城乡用地1 383.62 hm2。研究区几乎全为城乡用地所覆盖。
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| 关 键 词： | 马尔科夫模型 重庆 永川 景观动态 |
| 文章编号： | 0517-6611（2006）23-6172-02 |
| 收稿时间： | 09 11 2006 12:00AM |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-09-11 |
Application of the Markov Model on the Dynamic Change of Landscape Pattern in Yongchuan of Chongqing |
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| PENG Yue et al.Application of the Markov Model on the Dynamic Change of Landscape Pattern in Yongchuan of Chongqing[J].Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences,2006,34(23):6172-6173. |
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| Authors: | PENG Yue |
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| Institution: | Key Laboratory of Eco-environments in Three Gorges Reservoir Region, School of Life Science, Southwest China University, Chongqing 400715 |
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| Abstract: | In this paper,the Makov Model was introduced in the trend analysis and forecasts about the dynamic change of the landscape in Yongchuan,Chongqing.The satellite images of 1995 and 2000 from the remote sensing technique were analyzed with GIS method and Markov model and the research on the dynamic change of the landscape was taken.The results showed that the landscape pattern would reach relatively steady state in future period.The plowland area was 41.88 hm~2;woodland,0 hm~2;grassland,18.13 hm~2;water,11.98 hm~2 and urban and rural land-use,1383.62 hm~2.The region would be covered with urban and rural land-use. |
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| Keywords: | Markov Model Chongqing Yongchuan Dynamic change of landscape |
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