| 基于ARMA模型的云南省城乡居民收入差距分析和预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 范丽,扈立家.基于ARMA模型的云南省城乡居民收入差距分析和预测[J].安徽农业科学,2012(19):10283-10285. |
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| 作者姓名： | 范丽 扈立家 |
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| 作者单位： | 西南林业大学经济管理学院,云南昆明,650224 |
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| 摘 要： | 以云南省为例,根据1978～2010年云南省城乡居民收入差距的数据,运用ARMA模型,用Eviews软件进行拟合,对云南省城乡居民收入差距情况进行分析,并给出了2011～2013年云南省城乡居民相对收入差距的预测值。结果显示,城乡居民收入差距会继续扩大。提出了缩小城乡居民收入差距的相关建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 云南省 ARMA模型 城乡收入差距 分析和预测 |
Analysis and Forecast of the Urban-Rural Income Gap in Yunnan Province Based on ARMA Model |
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| Institution: | FAN Li et al(School of Economics and Management,Southwest Forestry University,Kunming,Yunnan 650224) |
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| Abstract: | According to the data of urban-rural income gap of Yunnan Province from 1978 to 2010,the income gap between urban and rural residents was analyzed with the ARMA and Eviews fitting,and the income gap during 2011-2013 was forecasted.The results showed that the urban-rural income gap will keep enlarging.Finally some solutions were proposed to narrow the gap. |
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| Keywords: | Yunnan Province ARMA Model Urban-rural income gap Analysis and forecast |
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