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| 沈阳地区待建风电场发电量定量预报方法研究 | |
| 引用本文： | 姜晓艳,张菁,明祥,臧俏冰,于万军,姜淼.沈阳地区待建风电场发电量定量预报方法研究[J].安徽农业科学,2011,39(24):14753-14756. |
| 作者姓名： | 姜晓艳 张菁 明祥 臧俏冰 于万军 姜淼 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 辽宁省沈阳市气象局,辽宁沈阳,110168 2. 辽宁省沈北新区气象局,辽宁沈北,110121 3. 大连理工大学,辽宁大连,116023 4. 新民市气象局,辽宁新民,110300 |
| 基金项目： | 沈阳市科学技术局科研项目(沈科发[2009]15号) |
| 摘 要： | 利用相关气象站资料、10个NRG加密测风站资料和龙源望海寺风电场发电量资料,在相关统计发电量与加密测风站风速、气象站与加密测风站风速以及各加密测风站之间风速均极显著的基础上,经反复模拟运算,建立了望海寺风电场1-2、3-6、7-9和10-12月各季逐日发电量与风速3次方回归曲线预报方程。经回代和试报,其年单机发电量相对偏差分别为0.01%和-2.1%。利用各加密测风站逐日测风资料,对待建风电场进行发电量定量预报,其年单机发电量依次为敖力营、郝关、榆树底、二牛、柳树、黄贝堡、双台子、山东屯和皇家。 |
| 关 键 词： | 风速 发电量 定量预报 建模 沈阳地区 |
Study on Quantitative Forecast Methods of Power Generation for Proposed Wind Power Plants in Shenyang |
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| JIANG Xiao-yan et al.Study on Quantitative Forecast Methods of Power Generation for Proposed Wind Power Plants in Shenyang[J].Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences,2011,39(24):14753-14756. | |
| Authors: | JIANG Xiao-yan |
| Institution: | JIANG Xiao-yan et al(Shenyang Meteorological Bureau,Shenyang,Liaoning 110168) |
| Abstract: | The related weather station data,data of ten NRG encryption anemometers and the data of Longyuan Wanghaisi wind power plants were used.On the basis of the extremely significant of statistical analysis of related power generation and wind speed of the encryption anemometer station,wind speed of the weather station and the encryption anemometers,as well as average speed among each encryption anemometer station.By simulating,it set regression curve prediction equations: daily power generation and average wind ... |
| Keywords: | Wind speed Power generation Quantitative forecast Modeling Shenyang region |
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