| 农资价格变动实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 黄臻.农资价格变动实证分析[J].宁夏农林科技,2014(3):89-91. |
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| 作者姓名： | 黄臻 |
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| 作者单位： | 贵阳学院经济管理学院,贵州贵阳550005 |
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| 摘 要： | 近年来农业生产资料价格变动频繁,上升速度很快,挫伤了农户种植的积极性,阻碍了我国农业生产的可持续性发展。该文选取人口增长、经济发展、能源价格、生物能源发展为指标,选取燃料价格作为农业生产资料价格的主要影响因素进行分析,选取燃料动力价格指数指标,用来说明能源价格的变化情况。分析认为1984—2009年农业生产资料价格指数对数LnNP与燃料动力价格指数对数lnRP之间存在着协整关系,即存在着长期稳定的均衡关系。
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| 关 键 词： | 农资价格 协整 对策 建议 |
Empirical Analysis on Agricultural Materials Price Change |
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| HUANG Zhen.Empirical Analysis on Agricultural Materials Price Change[J].Ningxia Journal of Agriculture and Forestry Science and Technology,2014(3):89-91. |
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| Authors: | HUANG Zhen |
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| Institution: | HUANG Zhen (Economic Management College, Guiyang University, Guiyang, Guizhou 550005) |
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| Abstract: | In recent years, agricultural materials prices raised rapidly,dampened the enthusiasm of farmers. In this paper, the population growth, economic development, energy prices and bioenergy development were chosen as the indexes, fuel prices was selected as the main influencing factor of price of agricultural materials. The fuel power price index was selected to indicate the change of energy prices. Preliminary analysis suggests that there is a co-integration relationship between lnNP and lnRP in 1984-2009, that is, a long-term and stable equilibrium relationship between them. |
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| Keywords: | Agricultural materials price Co-integration Countermeasure Suggestion |
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