| 气象服务与农产品期货关系的初探 |
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| 引用本文： | 姜 燕,张 蕾,王 蕊,贺 楠,李朝生,潘亚茹,霍治国.气象服务与农产品期货关系的初探[J].现代农业科技,2019(24). |
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| 作者姓名： | 姜 燕 张 蕾 王 蕊 贺 楠 李朝生 潘亚茹 霍治国 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国气象局应急减灾与公共服务司,国家气象中心,北京华风气象影视集团,中国气象局公共气象服务中心,中国气象局应急减灾与公共服务司,中国气象局应急减灾与公共服务司,中国气象科学研究院 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国气象局2019年气象软科学项目“农产品气候品质评估规范化发展研究”（2019ZZXM22） |
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| 摘 要： | 农产品期货是我国期货市场的重要部分。基于农业生产与气象条件的密切相关性,农产品期货价格与农作物产量、农产品期货交割等级与农作物气候品质关系密切；而农作物产量、农作物品质既与农产品期货价格高度相关、又与天气气候条件密切相关。基于上述关系,本文初步探讨气象服务在天气气候监测预报与作物产量预报、精细化农业气候区划与品质预评估两个方面,服务农产品期货市场的可能性。
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| 关 键 词： | 气象服务 农产品期货 产量预报 气候品质 |
| 收稿时间： | 2019/9/4 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2019/9/4 0:00:00 |
Preliminary study on relationship between meteorological service and agricultural futures |
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| Abstract: | Agricultural futures has always been important in the futures market. Affected by significant relationship between agricultural production and meteorological conditions, the price and delivery grade of agricultural futures depends on the yield and climatic quality of crops, respectively. Moreover, the yield and climatic quality of crops are highly related to weather and climate conditions. Based on these, the possibility of meteorology in serving agricultural futures are preliminarily explored, in view of weather and climate monitoring and forecasting with crop yield forecast, precise agricultural climate zoning and climatic quality forecasting. |
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| Keywords: | Meteorological services agricultural futures yield forecast climatic quality |
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