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我国粮食主产区农业现代化指标体系的构建和测算及发展水平评价
引用本文:蒋和平,崔凯.我国粮食主产区农业现代化指标体系的构建和测算及发展水平评价[J].农业现代化研究,2011,32(6):646-651.
作者姓名:蒋和平  崔凯
作者单位:中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所,北京,100081
基金项目:2008年国家社会科学基金重点项目,2011年中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项资金项目
摘    要:本文通过设置粮食主产区农业现代化发展水平评价指标体系,采用了25年( 1985~2009)的数据,运用层次分析法(AHP方法)对粮食主产区25年(1985~2009)来农业现代化发展水平进行分析和评价.在测算过程中,采取了分区域、分指标对比,并始终考虑到过去的发展过程和未来的发展趋势.研究结果表明:粮食主产区农业发展水平变化在一定程度上反映了我国农业发展的整体情况,农业现代化发展水平与各地经济发展水平密切相关,且各地区发展呈现不均衡性.对于影响农业现代化发展水平的因素,各指标的作用各有不同,但今后粮食主产区农业现代化发展的趋势将更注重农村社会化和农业可持续化等方面.

关 键 词:粮食主产区  农业现代化  指标体系  测算与评价

Construction and Measuring of Agricultural Modernization Evaluation Index System on Major Grain Producing Areas in China
JIANG He-ping and CUI kai.Construction and Measuring of Agricultural Modernization Evaluation Index System on Major Grain Producing Areas in China[J].Research of Agricultural Modernization,2011,32(6):646-651.
Authors:JIANG He-ping and CUI kai
Institution:Institute of Agricultural Economics and Development,Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences,Beijing 100081,China;Institute of Agricultural Economics and Development,Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences,Beijing 100081,China
Abstract:This paper based on 25 year's historical data, assessed agricultural modernization degree of major grain producing areas in 25 years by using Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP method). In the process of calculating agricultural modernization level in major grain producing areas, this article took method of sub-regional, sub-index contrast, and always takes into account of past process and future development trends. The results show that the levels of agricultural development in grain production area reflects the overall condition of China's agricultural development to some extent. The level of agricultural modernization and economic development shows closely related, and the regional agricultural modernization presents imbalanced way of development. On factors that affect the level of modernization, different index play various role, but the future agricultural development trend will demonstrate its more emphasis on rural society, urban-rural integration and agricultural sustainable and so on.
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