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甘肃省粮食生产波动的影响因素与对策
引用本文:段小红,王化俊,耿小娟.甘肃省粮食生产波动的影响因素与对策[J].农业现代化研究,2009,30(3):280-283.
作者姓名:段小红  王化俊  耿小娟
作者单位:1. 甘肃农业大学经济管理学院,甘肃,兰州,730070
2. 甘肃省作物遗传改良与种质资源创新重点实验室,甘肃,兰州,730070
基金项目:国家科技支撑计划,甘肃省重大科技专项计划 
摘    要:为寻求粮食安全生产的基本对策,本文根据1978-2007年甘肃省粮食生产的相关资料,运用环比增长率法分析了粮食生产波动的特征是:古典型波动、波动频繁、波动幅度较大;运用生产函数法确定了影响粮食产量主要因素是:粮食播种面积、受灾面积、有效灌溉面积、农业机械总动力、粮食价格;并结合甘肃省粮食生产的实际情况,提出了稳定粮食生产的基本对策主要是:加强农业技术应用与推广、完善粮食补贴政策和加强农业基础设施建设.

关 键 词:粮食生产  波动  影响因素  甘肃省

Influential Factors and Countermeasures of Grain Production Fluctuation in Gansu Province
DUAN Xiao-hong,WANG Hua-jun and GENG Xiao-juan.Influential Factors and Countermeasures of Grain Production Fluctuation in Gansu Province[J].Research of Agricultural Modernization,2009,30(3):280-283.
Authors:DUAN Xiao-hong  WANG Hua-jun and GENG Xiao-juan
Institution:1.Economy and Management College;Gansu Agricultural University;Lanzhou;Gansu 730070;China;2.Gansu Key Lab of Crop Improvement and Germplasm Enhancement;China
Abstract:To seek the essential countermeasures of the grain production safety in Gansu Province,based on the relevant references of 1978-2007,the grain production fluctuations'characteristics was analyzed by using the method of link relative increment rate,such as its fluctuation type was Classical,fluctuates frequently,and the fluctuation range was great;to confirm the main influential factors of Gansu grain yield with the Production Function,including:Sowing area,afflicted area,effective irrigated area,total motiv...
Keywords:grain production  fluctuation  influential factors  Gansu Province  
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