关于中国生猪产业的周期波动问题探析

随着中国养猪业向市场化迈进和产业结构及生产者行为的变迁,生猪周期逐渐显现出来。生猪市场的波动必然影响广大养殖企业和养猪户的生产积极性。本文利用历史数据对生猪市场的价格波动、生产波动及利润波动进行了实证分析,并对缓解生猪市场周期性波动提出了几点建议。

Discussion and Analysis on Cycles Fluctuation of Hog Industry in China

With China's pig industry pacing to a market and the changing of industrial structure and producers' behaviors,the hog cycles have emerged.The fluctuation of hog market will inevitably affect the enthusiasm of majority of enterprises and households in the hog production.In this article,according to historical data,the empirical analysis was adopted for discussing price fluctuations,production fluctuations and profit fluctuations in hog market.At the same time,several suggestions on relieving cyclical fluctuations were brought forward.