基于GIS的森林火灾预报预测模型的研究与探讨

对当前森林火灾预报预测研究的现状进行了分析。指出了当前在技术与方法上存在的问题与不足。在此基础上，提出了一种新的基于GIS技术、遥感技术和数学建模等技术的森林火灾预报预测模型。该模型通过建立森林火灾本底数据库，分析森林火灾发生和蔓延诱发因素，建立森林火险预报模型与林火蔓延预测模型来对森林火灾进行预报与预测。参8

Study on model about forest fire forecast and prediction based on GIS

This paper analyses the study status of forest fire forcast,and points out the problem and insufficient existing on technology and method about it at present.On the basis of this,this paper puts forward a new kind of forest fire forecast and spreading model based on GIS technology,the remote sensing technology,mathematics modeling.The model forecasts forest fire by builing base database of forest fire,analyzing factors leading to forest fire,building the models about forest fire and prediction.This model can promote develop and perfect theory and technology of forest fire forecast.