新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情下武汉市粮食应急管理经验与启示——基于权变理论视角的分析

阐析新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情对粮食安全的冲击及其诱发危机的特征,引入权变理论,分析粮食应急管理中的权变思想,构建权变理论下的粮食应急决策模型和应急管理框架。在此基础上,从监测预警机制、应急管理体制、应急保障机制,以及常态化疫情防控机制等体制机制层面探析武汉市粮食应急管理经验。融合权变理论,从管理者的权变素质、应急组织的敏捷性和灵活性、粮食储备、应急预案的异质性、监测预警5个方面提出启示性建议。

Experience and enlightenment of grain emergency management in Wuhan under COVID-19 epidemic: analysis from perspective of contingency theory

In the present study, the impact of COVID-19 on grain security and the characteristics of the crisis it triggered were examined. Based on the contingency theory, the contingency thinking in grain emergency management was analyzed, and grain emergency decision-making model and emergency management framework were constructed. On this basis, the monitoring and early warning mechanism, emergency management system, emergency support mechanism and normalized epidemic prevention and control mechanism in Wuhan were explored. Finally, it was suggested to ensure grain security by improving the ability of grain emergency management from the following five aspects: contingency quality of managers, agility and flexibility of emergency organizations, food reserves, heterogeneity of emergency plans, and monitoring and early warning.