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忻州市近50a气温和降水变化趋势分析
引用本文:张瑞珍,葛艳斌,罗树伟,赵酉龙,刘海玉.忻州市近50a气温和降水变化趋势分析[J].河北农业科学,2011,15(11):99-101.
作者姓名:张瑞珍  葛艳斌  罗树伟  赵酉龙  刘海玉
作者单位:1. 山西省忻府区气象局,山西忻州,034000
2. 山西省五寨县气象局,山西五寨,036200
3. 山西省忻州市气象局,山西忻州,034000
4. 山西省五台山气象站,山西五台山,035515
摘    要:以忻州市1961~2010年气温和降水资料为研究对象,分析了忻州市50 a的气候变化情况,得出其发展变化趋势。结果表明:50 a来忻州市气温呈非连续性的增温趋势,上升率为0.1℃/10 a;降水在年代背景增多的情况下呈减少趋势,减少率为4.5 mm/10 a。预计未来10 a,忻州市的气温变化趋势呈非连续性升高趋势,年降水量呈非连续性减少趋势。

关 键 词:忻州市  气温  降水  变化趋势

Analysis on Climate Change Trend in Recent Fifty Years in Xinzhou City
ZHANG Rui-zhen , GE Yan-bing , LUO Shu-wei , ZHAO You-long , LIU Hai-yu.Analysis on Climate Change Trend in Recent Fifty Years in Xinzhou City[J].Journal of Hebei Agricultural Sciences,2011,15(11):99-101.
Authors:ZHANG Rui-zhen  GE Yan-bing  LUO Shu-wei  ZHAO You-long  LIU Hai-yu
Institution:1.Meteorological Office of Xinfu District,Xinzhou 034000,China;2.Meteorological Bureau of Wuzhai County,Wuzhai 036200,China;3.Meteorological Bureau of Xinzhou,Xinzhou 034000,China;4.Meteorological Station of Wutai Mountain,Wutai Mountain 035515,China)
Abstract:Using the temperature and rainfall data in Xinzhou City from 1961 to 2010, the climate change was analyzed. The results indicated that the temperature showed discontinuous increasing, and the increasing rate was 0. 1℃/10 a. The rainfall showed the decreasing tendency, and the decreasing rate was 4. 5 mm/10 a. It was predicted that the annual precipitation would decrease discontinuously, and the temperature would increase discontinuously in the next ten years.
Keywords:Xinzhou city  Temperature  Rainfall  Change trend
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