Building and testing conceptual and empirical models for predicting soil bulk density

The development of pedotransfer functions offers a potential means of alleviating cost and labour burdens associated with bulk‐density determinations. As a means of incorporating a priori knowledge into the model‐building process, we propose a conceptual model for predicting soil bulk density from other more regularly measured properties. The model considers soil bulk density to be a function of soil mineral packing structures (ρ_m) and soil structure (Δρ). Bulk‐density maxima were found for soils with approximately 80% sand. Bulk densities were also observed to increase with depth, suggesting the influence of over‐burden pressure. Residuals from the ρ_m model, hereby known as Δρ, correlated with organic carbon. All models were trained using Australian soil data, with limits set at bulk densities between 0.7 and 1.8 g cm^?3 and containing organic carbon levels below 12%. Performance of the conceptual model (r² = 0.49) was found to be comparable with a multiple linear regression model (r² = 0.49) and outperformed models developed using an artificial neural network (r² = 0.47) and a regression tree (r² = 0.43). Further development of the conceptual model should allow the inclusion of soil morphological data to improve bulk‐density predictions.