| 江苏省耕地资源态势与粮食安全对策研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 孔伟,欧名豪.江苏省耕地资源态势与粮食安全对策研究[J].水土保持研究,2006,13(6):69-71. |
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| 作者姓名： | 孔伟 欧名豪 |
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| 作者单位： | 南京农业大学公共管理学院,南京,210095 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金;高等学校博士学科点专项科研项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 耕地安全是粮食安全的基础和保障。分析了改革开发以来江苏省耕地总量和人均耕地的变化趋势,运用多元线性回归模型对其2020年的耕地数量作出了预测;并对2020年全省耕地最低需求量进行了初步预测。结果表明在未来一定时期内,江苏省耕地资源供需矛盾和粮食安全问题较为突出。解决粮食安全问题的根本途径在于保护省内现有耕地资源,稳定和提高粮食综合生产能力。
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| 关 键 词： | 江苏省 耕地资源态势 粮食安全 |
| 文章编号： | 1005-3409（2006）06-0069-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-01-09 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006年1月9日 |
Current Situation of Cultivated Land Resources and Food Security in Jiangsu Province |
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| KONG Wei,OU Ming-hao.Current Situation of Cultivated Land Resources and Food Security in Jiangsu Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2006,13(6):69-71. |
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| Authors: | KONG Wei OU Ming-hao |
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| Institution: | College of Public Administration, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, China |
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| Abstract: | The cultivated land security is the foundation and safeguard of the food security.The authors analyze the quantitative change characteristic of the cultivated land in Jiangsu Province in recent years,and forecast its quantity in 2020 with the regressive multianalysis model.The article also forecasts the minimum demand of whole Jiangsu Province for the cultivated land up to the year 2020.The contrastive analysis indicates that in the future,the contradiction between its supply and demand and its food security problem will be obvious.The basic way to solve the food security problem is to protect the existing cultivated land and to stabilize and enhance the grain synthetical productivity. |
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| Keywords: | Jiangsu Province current situation of cultivated land resources food security |
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