快速城市化地区土地利用变化的动力学模拟--以南京市江宁区为例

研究土地利用结构变化的模拟是实现区域土地科学规划与利用的重要技术支撑。运用系统动力学方法构建了快速城市化地区土地利用模拟的动力学模型。并以南京市江宁区为研究区,对江宁区2006-2020年的土地利用结构变化进行了模拟。研究结果表明,基于系统动力学的土地利用结构变化模拟方法,能够较好地根据区域发展特征进行土地利用变化模拟。

Efficiency of Different Vegetative Restoration Settings Deployed on Wastelands of Zi,jinshan Gold-copper Mine in Fu,jian Province

Simulation of the changes of land use structure is one of the most important components in land use planning.In this study,a dynamic model of land use change was constructed based on dynamic modeling theory,and the thorough knowledge of the land use change and the driving forces.Taken Jiangning District of Nanjing City as an example,the scenarios of land use were simulated between 2006 and 2020.The simulation results showed that the model predicted well the past and future land use structure change in the study area.