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灰色关联度分析法在产业结构调整中的应用——以石匣小流域为例
引用本文:蒋文琼,王冬梅,李永贵,侯旭峰.灰色关联度分析法在产业结构调整中的应用——以石匣小流域为例[J].中国水土保持科学,2004,2(2):107-110.
作者姓名:蒋文琼  王冬梅  李永贵  侯旭峰
作者单位:1. 北京林业大学水土保持学院,100083
2. 北京市水利局,100073,北京
基金项目:北京市科委重点项目"九五"课题"北京市山区小流域治理及可持续发展示范研究"(952650100)
摘    要: 为确定适宜山区小流域的产业结构调整方向,采用灰色理论中关联度分析的原理和方法,对北京市密云县石匣小流域1991—1997年各产业年产值与流域产业总净效益之间关系的密切程度进行了分析,结果得出各产业年产值与产业总净效益的关联序为:渔(0.903)>工(0.900)>林(0.894)>牧(0.890)>农(0.882)>交(0.848)>建(0.8248)>副(0.8245)>商(0.819)。据此确定产业结构调整方向:改变单一农业经营,转变经营重点,以渔业、林业、工业代替农业作为经营重点,因地制宜地实现主次分明的综合开发。

关 键 词:关联度分析  产业结构调整  北京密云县石匣小流域
修稿时间:2003年3月20日

The Application of Correlation Degree Analysis of Gray Theory in Industrial Structure Restructuring--Taking Shixia Watershed for instance
Jiang Wenqiong,Wang Dongmei,Li onggui,HouXufeng.The Application of Correlation Degree Analysis of Gray Theory in Industrial Structure Restructuring--Taking Shixia Watershed for instance[J].Science of Soil and Water Conservation,2004,2(2):107-110.
Authors:Jiang Wenqiong  Wang Dongmei  Li onggui  HouXufeng
Institution:1 College of Soil and Water Conservation, Beijing Forestry University, 100083; 2 Beijing Water Resources Bureau, 100071: Beijing, China
Abstract:Based on principles and methods of correlation degree analysis of gray theory, the correlation degree between annual production value of different industries and total net benefit of Shixia watershed of Miyun county from 1991 to 1997 in Beijing was analyzed, correlation order of which in turn the results showed was fishery (0.903), industry (0.900), forestry (0.894), stock raising (0.890), agriculture (0.882), transportation (0.848), construction (0.824?8), sideline (0.8245), commerce (0.819). Accordingly, the direction of industrial structure restructuring was confirmed to transform single management of agriculture into diversification that fishery, forestry and industry became new management emphases and integrative exploitation according to local conditions was realized.
Keywords:correlation degree analysis  industrial structure restructuring  Shixia watershed of Miyun county in Beijing
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