灌溉宏观经济分析与决策系统的建立和应用

运用市场经济理论研究灌溉行业与经济运行规律，提出了灌溉宏观经济评价的方法与准则；对典型省区多年来灌溉经济的运作结果进行了分析评价；在此基础上运用人工神经网络理论，建立了通用的灌溉宏观经济评价人工神经网络模型；分析了政府对市场机制的调控原则与管理策略，提出了统一的灌溉宏观经济分析与决策系统。用此系统对山东省灌溉行业的情况进行了实例分析，诊断了现存问题，提出了改进建议，其研究方法与成果对灌溉行业宏观管理与当前正在进行的灌溉经营管理体制改革具有十分重要的指导意义。

Establishment and Application of Decision System and Macro-Economic Analysis of Irrigation

The method and criterea for macro-economy evaluation of irrigation are presented by using of economic theory to study irrigation and its economic operation rules. The analysis and evaluation of years economic operation resutls of typical provinces are worked out. An artificial neural network model for popular irrigation macro-economic evaluation is established based on artificial neural network theory. The government regulation principles and management strategies of market mechanism are analysed. An united irrigation macroeconomic analysis and decision system is presented. A case study of Shandong province is produced by using of the system. The results and study method have very important guiding meaning for irrigation macro management and current undergoing irrigation management system reform.