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民勤县主要作物优化灌溉制度制定及风险分析
引用本文:李茉,郭萍,付银环. 民勤县主要作物优化灌溉制度制定及风险分析[J]. 灌溉排水学报, 2013, 32(1): 91-95,102
作者姓名:李茉  郭萍  付银环
作者单位:中国农业大学水利与土木工程学院,北京,100083
摘    要:
根据由气象站和田间试验搜集到的民勤县各灌区1985—2008年间统计数据资料,建立了民勤县典型作物基于机会约束规划的优化灌溉制度模型,利用动态规划方法求解,制定出了几种典型作物在不同水文年的灌溉制度,其节水增产效果显著,并对其用水风险进行了分析。

关 键 词:优化灌溉制度  机会约束规划  动态规划  风险分析

Optimization Irrigation Procedure and Risk Analysis of the Main Crops in Minqin County
LI Mo,GUO Ping,FU Yin-huan. Optimization Irrigation Procedure and Risk Analysis of the Main Crops in Minqin County[J]. Journal of Irrigation and Drainage, 2013, 32(1): 91-95,102
Authors:LI Mo  GUO Ping  FU Yin-huan
Affiliation:(College of Water Conservancy and Civil Engineering,China Agricultural University,Beijing 100083,China)
Abstract:
According to the statistical data from 1985 to 2008 of weather station and field experiments in Minqin county's different irrigation areas,the optimization irrigation procedure model based on the chance-constrained programming(CCP) of the main crops were established.As the result,the optimization irrigation procedure of typical crops at the level of different hydrological years was formulated by the approach of dynamic programming,and the result of saving water and increasing output of optimization irrigation were significant;what's more,a risk analysis of water amount was given.
Keywords:optimization irrigation procedure  chance-constrained programming  dynamic programming  risk analysis
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