山西省生态足迹动态研究

生态足迹法是一种度量可持续发展程度的定量方法,运用生态足迹法对山西省1996~2005年的生态足迹和生态承载力进行了计算,并在此基础上运用spss软件得到的预测模型对山西省2006~2010年的生态足迹和生态承载力进行预测。结果表明:山西省人均生态足迹由1996年的1.2259hm2增加到2005年的1.3838hm2,人均生态赤字从1996年的0.4799hm2增加到2005年的0.6618hm2,增加了37.9%。在未来5年内,山西省人均生态赤字仍为增长趋势,山西省生态环境严重影响区域的可持续发展。

Dynamic Study on the Ecological Footprint in Shanxi Province

The ecological footprint is an assessment method for measuring the degree of sustainable development.By using this method,the ecological foorprint and ecological carrying capacity of Shanxi Province from 1996 to 2005 were calculated then the prediction model was obtained by using SPSS software to predict the ecological footprint and ecological carrying capacity of Shanxi Province from 2006 to 2010.The result showed that the ecological footprint per capita of Shanxi Province increased from 1.2259hm2 in 1996 to 1.3838 hm2 in 2005,the ecological deficit per capita of Shanxi Province increased from 0.4799hm2 in 1996 to 0.6619hm2 in 2005.In the next five years,the ecological deficit per capita of Shanxi Province would continue to increase,Ecological enviroment of Shanxi would affect the region's sustainable development seriously.